Rage Against the Bookie

Game Detail

MIL @ WSH

Final • Sat, May 2, 12:05 PM EDT

Back to Slate Away Starter Home Starter

Prediction

Away Starter

Kyle Harrison

Source

Official

Throws L

Prediction

Home Starter

Foster Griffin

Source

Official

Throws L

Prediction

Moneyline

logistic_v2_sbr_opening

WSH

+120

45.4%

MIL

-120

54.6%

Prediction

NRFI / YRFI

nrfi_hgb_v2_stuff_plus

NRFI

-100

50.1%

YRFI

+100

49.9%

Prediction

Game Total

totals_linewise_v1

Projected Total

7.49

Market 8.0 • UNDER -0.51

MIL

4.08

Projected runs

WSH

3.41

Projected runs

Game Context

Weather

No major weather flags

Snapshot

Sat, May 2, 12:00 PM EDT

open roof

Temperature

62F

Feels like 56F

Wind

10 mph

Cross L→R 9 mph

Gusts 11 mph • Raw WNW (297°)

Precipitation

0.00"

Weather code 1

Prediction

MIL Starter

Kyle Harrison

Strikeouts

5.33

5.5 +105 · BetMGM

Outs Recorded

16.28

16.5 +108 · Novig

Prediction

WSH Starter

Foster Griffin

Strikeouts

5.17

4.5 -130 · BetMGM

Outs Recorded

17.51

16.5 -118 · BetRivers

Matchup Lens

Team Comparison

Metric	MIL	WSH
Win %	54.01%	47.87%
Run Diff / G	0.35	-0.15
Last 10 Win %	52.01%	48.94%
Recent OPS	0.73	0.72
Bullpen ERA	3.70	4.48
Bullpen FIP Proxy	0.64	1.06
Days Since Last Game	1	1
Travel Distance	0	0

Lineups

Official or Projected Orders

Official

MIL

Confidence 100% (official)

1

Garrett Mitchell

CF

Hit -143

58.8%

HR +832

10.7%

H+R+RBI

2.11

2

2B

Hit -176

63.7%

HR +932

9.7%

H+R+RBI

2.10

3

William Contreras

DH

Hit -164

62.1%

HR +788

11.3%

H+R+RBI

2.12

4

C

Hit -132

56.9%

HR +512

16.3%

H+R+RBI

1.98

5

1B

Hit -115

53.5%

HR +869

10.3%

H+R+RBI

1.78

6

3B

Hit -158

61.3%

HR +1118

8.2%

H+R+RBI

1.79

7

Brandon Lockridge

LF

Hit -124

55.4%

HR +1540

6.1%

H+R+RBI

1.71

8

RF

Hit -152

60.3%

HR +1228

7.5%

H+R+RBI

1.70

9

SS

Hit -125

55.5%

HR +1452

6.4%

H+R+RBI

1.60

Official

WSH

Confidence 100% (official)

1

RF

Hit -140

58.3%

HR +562

15.1%

H+R+RBI

2.10

2

2B

Hit -162

61.8%

HR +789

11.2%

H+R+RBI

2.12

3

3B

Hit -148

59.7%

HR +867

10.3%

H+R+RBI

2.02

4

SS

Hit -161

61.7%

HR +720

12.2%

H+R+RBI

2.04

5

CF

Hit -155

60.9%

HR +1429

6.5%

H+R+RBI

1.87

6

DH

Hit -158

61.2%

HR +1018

8.9%

H+R+RBI

1.84

7

RF

Hit -103

50.7%

HR +894

10.1%

H+R+RBI

1.70

8

2B

Hit -100

50.1%

HR +1545

6.1%

H+R+RBI

1.64

9

C

Hit -143

58.9%

HR +1359

6.9%

H+R+RBI

1.56