Rage Against the Bookie

Game Detail

CHW @ SD

Scheduled • Sat, May 2, 4:40 PM EDT

Back to Slate Away Starter Home Starter

Prediction

Away Starter

Sean Burke

Source

Official

Throws R

Prediction

Home Starter

Michael King

Source

Official

Throws R

Prediction

Moneyline

logistic_v2_sbr_opening

SD

-109

52.1%

CHW

+109

47.9%

Prediction

NRFI / YRFI

nrfi_hgb_v2_stuff_plus

NRFI

-141

58.5%

YRFI

+141

41.5%

Prediction

Game Total

totals_linewise_v1

Projected Total

7.35

Market total unavailable

CHW

3.52

Projected runs

SD

3.83

Projected runs

Game Context

Weather

No major weather flags

Snapshot

Sat, May 2, 5:00 PM EDT

open roof

Temperature

63F

Feels like 62F

Wind

8 mph

Cross L→R 6 mph

Gusts 10 mph • Raw NW (314°)

Precipitation

0.00"

Weather code 2

Prediction

CHW Starter

Sean Burke

Strikeouts

3.99

3.5 -130 · FanDuel

Outs Recorded

14.91

15.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

Prediction

SD Starter

Michael King

Strikeouts

6.10

5.5 -120 · Hard Rock Bet

Outs Recorded

17.41

17.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

Matchup Lens

Team Comparison

Metric	CHW	SD
Win %	42.94%	48.58%
Run Diff / G	-0.61	-0.17
Last 10 Win %	56.47%	49.29%
Recent OPS	0.69	0.72
Bullpen ERA	4.27	3.90
Bullpen FIP Proxy	0.91	0.57
Days Since Last Game	1	1
Travel Distance	0	0

Lineups

Official or Projected Orders

Projected High

CHW

Confidence 90% (high)

1

Andrew Benintendi

7

Hit -160

61.5%

HR +879

10.2%

H+R+RBI

2.04

2

Munetaka Murakami

3

Hit +104

49.0%

HR +468

17.6%

H+R+RBI

2.00

3

5

Hit -114

53.2%

HR +841

10.6%

H+R+RBI

1.95

4

Colson Montgomery

6

Hit -105

51.3%

HR +479

17.3%

H+R+RBI

1.78

5

4

Hit -141

58.6%

HR +1593

5.9%

H+R+RBI

1.78

6

7

Hit -115

53.5%

HR +1411

6.6%

H+R+RBI

1.64

7

2

Hit -117

54.0%

HR +1948

4.9%

H+R+RBI

1.55

8

8

Hit +110

47.7%

HR +1863

5.1%

H+R+RBI

1.40

9

Luisangel Acuña

8

Hit +109

47.9%

HR +2120

4.5%

H+R+RBI

1.47

Projected High

SD

Confidence 93% (high)

1

Ramón Laureano

7

Hit -148

59.7%

HR +826

10.8%

H+R+RBI

2.06

2

Fernando Tatis Jr.

9

Hit -143

58.8%

HR +792

11.2%

H+R+RBI

2.18

3

Jackson Merrill

8

Hit -160

61.5%

HR +957

9.5%

H+R+RBI

2.07

4

5

Hit -151

60.1%

HR +624

13.8%

H+R+RBI

2.01

5

Xander Bogaerts

6

Hit -157

61.1%

HR +952

9.5%

H+R+RBI

1.85

6

3

Hit -123

55.1%

HR +800

11.1%

H+R+RBI

1.68

7

5

Hit -150

60.0%

HR +1252

7.4%

H+R+RBI

1.67

8

2

Hit -118

54.2%

HR +1724

5.5%

H+R+RBI

1.59

9

Jake Cronenworth

4

Hit -113

53.1%

HR +1315

7.1%

H+R+RBI

1.57