Rage Against the Bookie

Game Detail

CIN @ PIT

Scheduled • Sat, May 2, 12:05 PM EDT

Back to Slate Away Starter Home Starter

Prediction

Away Starter

Rhett Lowder

Source

Official

Throws R

Prediction

Home Starter

Carmen Mlodzinski

Source

Official

Throws R

Prediction

Moneyline

logistic_v2_sbr_opening

PIT

-125

55.6%

CIN

+125

44.4%

Prediction

NRFI / YRFI

nrfi_hgb_v2_stuff_plus

NRFI

+133

42.8%

YRFI

-133

57.2%

Prediction

Game Total

totals_linewise_v1

Projected Total

8.39

Market total unavailable

CIN

4.22

Projected runs

PIT

4.18

Projected runs

Game Context

Weather

No major weather flags

Snapshot

Sat, May 2, 12:00 PM EDT

open roof

Temperature

50F

Feels like 45F

Wind

3 mph

Out 3 mph

Gusts 11 mph • Raw NW (318°)

Precipitation

0.00"

Weather code 3

Prediction

CIN Starter

Rhett Lowder

Strikeouts

4.29

4.5 +120 · Novig

Outs Recorded

16.25

—

Prediction

PIT Starter

Carmen Mlodzinski

Strikeouts

4.92

4.5 -121 · DraftKings

Outs Recorded

15.16

15.5 +130 · Fanatics

Matchup Lens

Team Comparison

Metric	CIN	PIT
Win %	45.13%	46.24%
Run Diff / G	-0.40	-0.49
Last 10 Win %	52.57%	43.12%
Recent OPS	0.73	0.74
Bullpen ERA	4.41	4.11
Bullpen FIP Proxy	1.15	0.75
Days Since Last Game	1	1
Travel Distance	0	0

Lineups

Official or Projected Orders

Projected High

CIN

Confidence 95% (high)

1

8

Hit -172

63.2%

HR +815

10.9%

H+R+RBI

2.22

2

4

Hit -140

58.4%

HR +869

10.3%

H+R+RBI

2.11

3

Elly De La Cruz

6

Hit -135

57.5%

HR +712

12.3%

H+R+RBI

2.13

4

3

Hit -135

57.5%

HR +655

13.2%

H+R+RBI

1.87

5

3

Hit -140

58.3%

HR +694

12.6%

H+R+RBI

1.84

6

7

Hit -129

56.3%

HR +877

10.2%

H+R+RBI

1.74

7

Tyler Stephenson

2

Hit -119

54.3%

HR +1355

6.9%

H+R+RBI

1.64

8

9

Hit +115

46.4%

HR +980

9.3%

H+R+RBI

1.53

9

5

Hit -125

55.5%

HR +1477

6.3%

H+R+RBI

1.47

Projected High

PIT

Confidence 95% (high)

1

8

Hit -129

56.3%

HR +630

13.7%

H+R+RBI

2.11

2

4

Hit -131

56.6%

HR +664

13.1%

H+R+RBI

2.07

3

7

Hit -149

59.8%

HR +907

9.9%

H+R+RBI

2.10

4

9

Hit -137

57.8%

HR +853

10.5%

H+R+RBI

2.02

5

10

Hit -136

57.6%

HR +764

11.6%

H+R+RBI

1.83

6

5

Hit -150

60.0%

HR +1507

6.2%

H+R+RBI

1.75

7

Spencer Horwitz

3

Hit -129

56.4%

HR +1203

7.7%

H+R+RBI

1.74

8

6

Hit -114

53.4%

HR +1378

6.8%

H+R+RBI

1.56

9

2

Hit +115

46.6%

HR +1163

7.9%

H+R+RBI

1.44