Rage Against the Bookie

Game Detail

PHI @ MIA

Final • Sat, May 2, 12:10 PM EDT

Back to Slate Away Starter Home Starter

Prediction

Away Starter

Andrew Painter

Source

Official

Throws R

Prediction

Home Starter

Max Meyer

Source

Official

Throws R

Prediction

Moneyline

logistic_v2_sbr_opening

MIA

-121

54.7%

PHI

+121

45.3%

Prediction

NRFI / YRFI

nrfi_hgb_v2_stuff_plus

NRFI

-192

65.7%

YRFI

+192

34.3%

Prediction

Game Total

totals_linewise_v1

Projected Total

8.34

Market 8.5 • UNDER -0.16

PHI

4.10

Projected runs

MIA

4.25

Projected runs

Game Context

Weather

Roof-managed venue

Snapshot

Sat, May 2, 12:00 PM EDT

retractable roof

Temperature

94F

Feels like 99F

Wind

11 mph

Cross L→R 10 mph

Gusts 17 mph • Raw SSW (208°)

Precipitation

0.00"

Weather code 1

Prediction

PHI Starter

Andrew Painter

Strikeouts

4.35

3.5 -140 · BetMGM

Outs Recorded

16.00

15.5 +102 · DraftKings

Prediction

MIA Starter

Max Meyer

Strikeouts

5.19

4.5 -139 · Pinnacle

Outs Recorded

16.83

15.5 +121 · Novig

Matchup Lens

Team Comparison

Metric	PHI	MIA
Win %	49.82%	43.81%
Run Diff / G	-0.12	-0.65
Last 10 Win %	49.91%	46.90%
Recent OPS	0.70	0.73
Bullpen ERA	4.25	4.28
Bullpen FIP Proxy	0.86	0.78
Days Since Last Game	1	1
Travel Distance	0	0

Lineups

Official or Projected Orders

Official

PHI

Confidence 100% (official)

1

SS

Hit -190

65.5%

HR +568

15.0%

H+R+RBI

2.53

2

DH

Hit -111

52.5%

HR +277

26.5%

H+R+RBI

2.10

3

1B

Hit -133

57.1%

HR +453

18.1%

H+R+RBI

2.29

4

CF

Hit -127

56.0%

HR +499

16.7%

H+R+RBI

2.07

5

2B

Hit -157

61.2%

HR +797

11.2%

H+R+RBI

2.08

6

3B

Hit -159

61.4%

HR +935

9.7%

H+R+RBI

1.90

7

C

Hit -140

58.4%

HR +843

10.6%

H+R+RBI

1.84

8

LF

Hit -104

50.9%

HR +1170

7.9%

H+R+RBI

1.65

9

RF

Hit +103

49.3%

HR +767

11.5%

H+R+RBI

1.57

Official

MIA

Confidence 100% (official)

1

CF

Hit -155

60.9%

HR +737

12.0%

H+R+RBI

2.34

2

RF

Hit -127

56.0%

HR +732

12.0%

H+R+RBI

2.24

3

SS

Hit -163

62.0%

HR +943

9.6%

H+R+RBI

2.37

4

2B

Hit -184

64.8%

HR +1238

7.5%

H+R+RBI

2.32

5

C

Hit -138

57.9%

HR +740

11.9%

H+R+RBI

2.00

6

Agustín Ramírez

DH

Hit -132

56.9%

HR +727

12.1%

H+R+RBI

1.85

7

1B

Hit -115

53.4%

HR +917

9.8%

H+R+RBI

1.76

8

3B

Hit +108

48.0%

HR +886

10.1%

H+R+RBI

1.70

9

LF

Hit -107

51.6%

HR +932

9.7%

H+R+RBI

1.62