Player Profile
Ildemaro Vargas
4 · Bats S · Throws R
2026-05-02
HitsH+R+RBIHome Runs
Last 5 Hit%80%
Last 10 HR%20%
Hard Hit%39%
OPS0.688
Today's Spotlight
Hits
-181
103% probability · vs CHC · Batting #4
ARI
H+R+RBI
1.88 H+R+RBI
vs CHC · Batting #4
Home Runs
+962
9% probability · vs CHC · Batting #4
Decision
Primary market read
Command Center
Hit Trend
103% probability · vs CHC · Batting #4
Model
103%
Hits
Read
Thin Edge
+3.4%
Hit Record
24-10 Hits
34 hit plays · season
HR Record
4-16 HR
20 HR plays · season
Sample
21
30-day window
Average
1.5 Hits
Per game / start
Clear Rate
95%
Against 0.5 line
Opponent
CHC
Shota Imanaga
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Last 30 days
5-game avg
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Split chart
Location / Handedness
Last 30 days
Home
1.4 Hits
100% clear · 8G
Away
1.6 Hits
92% clear · 13G
Vs RHP
1.2 Hits
51 Hits in 41G
Vs LHP
1.0 Hits
21 Hits in 21G
Opponent Exposure
Shota Imanaga · hits & HR allowed
Season avg Hits
3.50
6G · per start
vs LHB avg Hits
3.17
6G
vs RHB avg Hits
3.17
6G
Today's pitcher
#1
Hits allowed rank / 1 qualified
Opp pitcher · start by start
Hits allowed per start
6 starts shown
3-start avg
At or above lineBelow line3-start avg
Confidence
Supporting form snapshot
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Snapshot
Most recent feature pull
Hard Hit
39%
Quality contact
Barrel
8%
Damage rate
Avg EV
88.5 mph
Exit velo
Fly Ball
34%
Launch mix
ISO
0.119
Isolated power
Production Profile
Run Creation Snapshot
Season-level context
AVG
0.264
Batting average
OBP
0.305
On-base rate
SLG
0.383
Slugging
OPS
0.688
Overall production
TB/G
2.90
Last 10 games
R+RBI
1.70
Last 10 / game
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Profile
Above avg
Below avg
Lg avg
Hard Hit Rate
38.5%
+0.0%
Barrel Rate
8.2%
+0.0%
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
+0.0
Fly Ball Rate
34.0%
+0.0%
ISO
.119
-21pts
Bar range reflects realistic player spread · Marker = league average · Delta vs lg avg shown right
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Rolling avg
5-game
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Recent Hitting Log
| Date | Opp | Slot | AB | H | HR | R | RBI | BB | K | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | CHC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | CHC | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | MIL | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-04-29 | MIL | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-04-28 | MIL | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | SD | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | SD | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-23 | CHW | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | CHW | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 2026-04-19 | TOR | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-18 | TOR | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | TOR | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-15 | BAL | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026-04-14 | BAL | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2026-04-13 | BAL | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |