Player Profile
Willson Contreras
3 · Bats R · Throws R
2026-05-02
HitsH+R+RBIHome Runs
Last 5 Hit%100%
Last 10 HR%30%
Hard Hit%39%
OPS0.820
Today's Spotlight
Hits
-146
90% probability · vs HOU · Batting #2
BOS
H+R+RBI
2.23 H+R+RBI
vs HOU · Batting #2
Home Runs
+575
15% probability · vs HOU · Batting #2
Decision
Primary market read
Command Center
Hit Trend
90% probability · vs HOU · Batting #2
Model
90%
Hits
Read
Neutral
-6.2%
Hit Record
26-24 Hits
50 hit plays · season
HR Record
12-33 HR
45 HR plays · season
Sample
26
30-day window
Average
1.0 Hits
Per game / start
Clear Rate
73%
Against 0.5 line
Opponent
HOU
Spencer Arrighetti
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Last 30 days
5-game avg
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Split chart
Location / Handedness
Last 30 days
Home
0.9 Hits
73% clear · 15G
Away
1.3 Hits
73% clear · 11G
Vs RHP
0.9 Hits
107 Hits in 120G
Vs LHP
1.0 Hits
49 Hits in 49G
Opponent Exposure
Spencer Arrighetti · hits & HR allowed
Season avg Hits
3.33
3G · per start
vs LHB avg Hits
2.33
3G
vs RHB avg Hits
2.00
3G
Today's pitcher
#1
Hits allowed rank / 1 qualified
Opp pitcher · start by start
Hits allowed per start
3 starts shown
3-start avg
At or above lineBelow line3-start avg
Confidence
Supporting form snapshot
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Snapshot
Most recent feature pull
Hard Hit
39%
Quality contact
Barrel
8%
Damage rate
Avg EV
88.5 mph
Exit velo
Fly Ball
34%
Launch mix
ISO
0.205
Isolated power
Production Profile
Run Creation Snapshot
Season-level context
AVG
0.260
Batting average
OBP
0.355
On-base rate
SLG
0.465
Slugging
OPS
0.820
Overall production
TB/G
1.90
Last 10 games
R+RBI
1.60
Last 10 / game
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Profile
Above avg
Below avg
Lg avg
Hard Hit Rate
38.5%
+0.0%
Barrel Rate
8.2%
+0.0%
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
+0.0
Fly Ball Rate
34.0%
+0.0%
ISO
.205
++65pts
Bar range reflects realistic player spread · Marker = league average · Delta vs lg avg shown right
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Rolling avg
5-game
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Recent Hitting Log
| Date | Opp | Slot | AB | H | HR | R | RBI | BB | K | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | HOU | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-05-01 | HOU | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-29 | TOR | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026-04-28 | TOR | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-04-27 | TOR | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | BAL | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | BAL | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 2026-04-24 | BAL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | NYY | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | NYY | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | NYY | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-20 | DET | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-19 | DET | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 2026-04-18 | DET | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | DET | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |