Player Profile
Josh Naylor
3 · Bats L · Throws L
2026-05-02
HitsH+R+RBIHome Runs
Last 5 Hit%60%
Last 10 HR%20%
Hard Hit%39%
OPS0.777
Today's Spotlight
Hits
-154
93% probability · vs KC · Batting #4
SEA
H+R+RBI
2.04 H+R+RBI
vs KC · Batting #4
Home Runs
+775
11% probability · vs KC · Batting #4
Decision
Primary market read
Command Center
Hit Trend
93% probability · vs KC · Batting #4
Model
93%
Hits
Read
Neutral
-3.7%
Hit Record
28-18 Hits
46 hit plays · season
HR Record
5-36 HR
41 HR plays · season
Sample
24
30-day window
Average
1.0 Hits
Per game / start
Clear Rate
63%
Against 0.5 line
Opponent
KC
Seth Lugo
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Last 30 days
5-game avg
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Split chart
Location / Handedness
Last 30 days
Home
1.3 Hits
73% clear · 11G
Away
0.8 Hits
54% clear · 13G
Vs RHP
1.1 Hits
138 Hits in 129G
Vs LHP
1.0 Hits
49 Hits in 50G
Opponent Exposure
Seth Lugo · hits & HR allowed
Season avg Hits
5.50
6G · per start
vs LHB avg Hits
3.67
6G
vs RHB avg Hits
2.67
6G
Today's pitcher
#1
Hits allowed rank / 1 qualified
Opp pitcher · start by start
Hits allowed per start
6 starts shown
3-start avg
At or above lineBelow line3-start avg
Confidence
Supporting form snapshot
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Snapshot
Most recent feature pull
Hard Hit
39%
Quality contact
Barrel
8%
Damage rate
Avg EV
88.5 mph
Exit velo
Fly Ball
34%
Launch mix
ISO
0.178
Isolated power
Production Profile
Run Creation Snapshot
Season-level context
AVG
0.267
Batting average
OBP
0.331
On-base rate
SLG
0.445
Slugging
OPS
0.777
Overall production
TB/G
2.20
Last 10 games
R+RBI
1.30
Last 10 / game
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Profile
Above avg
Below avg
Lg avg
Hard Hit Rate
38.5%
+0.0%
Barrel Rate
8.2%
+0.0%
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
+0.0
Fly Ball Rate
34.0%
+0.0%
ISO
.178
++38pts
Bar range reflects realistic player spread · Marker = league average · Delta vs lg avg shown right
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Rolling avg
5-game
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Recent Hitting Log
| Date | Opp | Slot | AB | H | HR | R | RBI | BB | K | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | KC | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-05-01 | KC | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-29 | MIN | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | MIN | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026-04-27 | MIN | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | STL | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-04-24 | STL | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | ATH | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-04-21 | ATH | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | ATH | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | TEX | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | TEX | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-04-16 | SD | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | SD | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | SD | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |