Player Profile
Matt Chapman
5 · Bats R · Throws R
2026-05-02
HitsH+R+RBIHome Runs
Last 5 Hit%20%
Last 10 HR%0%
Hard Hit%—
OPS—
Today's Spotlight
Hits
-107
73% probability · vs TB · Batting #3
SF
H+R+RBI
1.65 H+R+RBI
vs TB · Batting #3
Home Runs
+780
11% probability · vs TB · Batting #3
Decision
Primary market read
Command Center
Hit Trend
73% probability · vs TB · Batting #3
Model
73%
Hits
Read
Neutral
-10.5%
Hit Record
26-18 Hits
44 hit plays · season
HR Record
0-40 HR
40 HR plays · season
Sample
25
30-day window
Average
1.0 Hits
Per game / start
Clear Rate
64%
Against 0.5 line
Opponent
TB
Griffin Jax
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Last 30 days
5-game avg
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Split chart
Location / Handedness
Last 30 days
Home
1.0 Hits
67% clear · 12G
Away
1.0 Hits
62% clear · 13G
Vs RHP
0.9 Hits
101 Hits in 116G
Vs LHP
0.8 Hits
38 Hits in 47G
Opponent Exposure
Griffin Jax · hits & HR allowed
Season avg Hits
1.00
1G · per start
vs LHB avg Hits
2.00
1G
vs RHB avg Hits
2.00
1G
Opp pitcher · start by start
Hits allowed per start
1 starts shown
3-start avg
At or above lineBelow line3-start avg
Confidence
Supporting form snapshot
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Snapshot
Most recent feature pull
Hard Hit
—
Quality contact
Barrel
—
Damage rate
Avg EV
—
Exit velo
Fly Ball
—
Launch mix
ISO
—
Isolated power
Production Profile
Run Creation Snapshot
Season-level context
AVG
—
Batting average
OBP
—
On-base rate
SLG
—
Slugging
OPS
—
Overall production
TB/G
0.70
Last 10 games
R+RBI
0.40
Last 10 / game
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Rolling avg
5-game
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Recent Hitting Log
| Date | Opp | Slot | AB | H | HR | R | RBI | BB | K | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | TB | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | PHI | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-04-30 | PHI | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | PHI | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | MIA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | MIA | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-04-24 | MIA | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-23 | LAD | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | LAD | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-21 | LAD | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | WSH | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-18 | WSH | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-04-17 | WSH | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-04-16 | CIN | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-04-15 | CIN | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |