Player Profile
Austin Riley
5 · Bats R · Throws R
2026-05-02
HitsH+R+RBIHome Runs
Last 5 Hit%40%
Last 10 HR%10%
Hard Hit%39%
OPS0.827
Today's Spotlight
Hits
-164
97% probability · vs COL · Batting #7
ATL
H+R+RBI
1.90 H+R+RBI
vs COL · Batting #7
Home Runs
+779
11% probability · vs COL · Batting #7
Decision
Primary market read
Command Center
Hit Trend
97% probability · vs COL · Batting #7
Model
97%
Hits
Read
Neutral
-7.6%
Hit Record
20-28 Hits
48 hit plays · season
HR Record
6-40 HR
46 HR plays · season
Sample
27
30-day window
Average
0.7 Hits
Per game / start
Clear Rate
48%
Against 0.5 line
Opponent
COL
Brennan Bernardino
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Last 30 days
5-game avg
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Split chart
Location / Handedness
Last 30 days
Home
0.7 Hits
42% clear · 12G
Away
0.8 Hits
53% clear · 15G
Vs RHP
1.0 Hits
97 Hits in 102G
Vs LHP
1.0 Hits
38 Hits in 37G
Opponent Exposure
Brennan Bernardino · hits & HR allowed
Season avg Hits
1.00
1G · per start
vs LHB avg Hits
4.00
1G
vs RHB avg Hits
3.00
1G
Opp pitcher · start by start
Hits allowed per start
1 starts shown
3-start avg
At or above lineBelow line3-start avg
Confidence
Supporting form snapshot
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Snapshot
Most recent feature pull
Hard Hit
39%
Quality contact
Barrel
8%
Damage rate
Avg EV
88.5 mph
Exit velo
Fly Ball
34%
Launch mix
ISO
0.221
Isolated power
Production Profile
Run Creation Snapshot
Season-level context
AVG
0.269
Batting average
OBP
0.337
On-base rate
SLG
0.490
Slugging
OPS
0.827
Overall production
TB/G
1.00
Last 10 games
R+RBI
0.90
Last 10 / game
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Profile
Above avg
Below avg
Lg avg
Hard Hit Rate
38.5%
+0.0%
Barrel Rate
8.2%
+0.0%
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
+0.0
Fly Ball Rate
34.0%
+0.0%
ISO
.221
++81pts
Bar range reflects realistic player spread · Marker = league average · Delta vs lg avg shown right
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Rolling avg
5-game
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Recent Hitting Log
| Date | Opp | Slot | AB | H | HR | R | RBI | BB | K | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | COL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | COL | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-04-30 | DET | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | DET | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | DET | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | PHI | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | PHI | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-04-24 | PHI | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | WSH | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-04-22 | WSH | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | WSH | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | WSH | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | PHI | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-18 | PHI | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-04-17 | PHI | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 |