Player Profile
Nathan Church
7 · Bats L · Throws L
2026-05-02
HitsH+R+RBIHome Runs
Last 5 Hit%60%
Last 10 HR%30%
Hard Hit%—
OPS—
Today's Spotlight
Hits
-112
75% probability · vs LAD · Batting #7
STL
H+R+RBI
1.73 H+R+RBI
vs LAD · Batting #7
Home Runs
+859
10% probability · vs LAD · Batting #7
Decision
Primary market read
Command Center
Hit Trend
75% probability · vs LAD · Batting #7
Model
75%
Hits
Read
Neutral
-8.6%
Hit Record
22-12 Hits
34 hit plays · season
HR Record
3-13 HR
16 HR plays · season
Sample
24
30-day window
Average
0.8 Hits
Per game / start
Clear Rate
54%
Against 0.5 line
Opponent
LAD
Roki Sasaki
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Last 30 days
5-game avg
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Split chart
Location / Handedness
Last 30 days
Home
1.0 Hits
56% clear · 9G
Away
0.6 Hits
53% clear · 15G
Vs RHP
0.7 Hits
32 Hits in 48G
Vs LHP
0.2 Hits
2 Hits in 10G
Opponent Exposure
Roki Sasaki · hits & HR allowed
Season avg Hits
5.60
5G · per start
vs LHB avg Hits
5.40
5G
vs RHB avg Hits
3.40
5G
Today's pitcher
#1
Hits allowed rank / 1 qualified
Opp pitcher · start by start
Hits allowed per start
5 starts shown
3-start avg
At or above lineBelow line3-start avg
Confidence
Supporting form snapshot
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Snapshot
Most recent feature pull
Hard Hit
—
Quality contact
Barrel
—
Damage rate
Avg EV
—
Exit velo
Fly Ball
—
Launch mix
ISO
—
Isolated power
Production Profile
Run Creation Snapshot
Season-level context
AVG
—
Batting average
OBP
—
On-base rate
SLG
—
Slugging
OPS
—
Overall production
TB/G
2.40
Last 10 games
R+RBI
1.50
Last 10 / game
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Rolling avg
5-game
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Recent Hitting Log
| Date | Opp | Slot | AB | H | HR | R | RBI | BB | K | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | LAD | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-30 | PIT | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-04-29 | PIT | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | PIT | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-27 | PIT | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | SEA | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026-04-25 | SEA | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2026-04-24 | SEA | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | MIA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-21 | MIA | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026-04-19 | HOU | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | HOU | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | HOU | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-15 | CLE | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | CLE | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |