Player Profile
Matt Shaw
5 · Bats R · Throws R
2026-05-02
HitsH+R+RBIHome Runs
Last 5 Hit%40%
Last 10 HR%10%
Hard Hit%39%
OPS0.706
Today's Spotlight
Hits
-123
80% probability · vs ARI · Batting #8
CHC
H+R+RBI
1.68 H+R+RBI
vs ARI · Batting #8
Home Runs
+1075
9% probability · vs ARI · Batting #8
Decision
Primary market read
Command Center
Hit Trend
80% probability · vs ARI · Batting #8
Model
80%
Hits
Read
Neutral
-1.4%
Hit Record
10-8 Hits
18 hit plays · season
HR Record
0-9 HR
9 HR plays · season
Sample
25
30-day window
Average
0.7 Hits
Per game / start
Clear Rate
48%
Against 0.5 line
Opponent
ARI
Ryne Nelson
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Last 30 days
5-game avg
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Split chart
Location / Handedness
Last 30 days
Home
0.6 Hits
50% clear · 10G
Away
0.8 Hits
47% clear · 15G
Vs RHP
0.7 Hits
74 Hits in 112G
Vs LHP
0.8 Hits
36 Hits in 44G
Opponent Exposure
Ryne Nelson · hits & HR allowed
Season avg Hits
4.67
6G · per start
vs LHB avg Hits
3.67
6G
vs RHB avg Hits
5.50
6G
Today's pitcher
#1
Hits allowed rank / 1 qualified
Opp pitcher · start by start
Hits allowed per start
6 starts shown
3-start avg
At or above lineBelow line3-start avg
Confidence
Supporting form snapshot
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Snapshot
Most recent feature pull
Hard Hit
39%
Quality contact
Barrel
8%
Damage rate
Avg EV
88.5 mph
Exit velo
Fly Ball
34%
Launch mix
ISO
0.174
Isolated power
Production Profile
Run Creation Snapshot
Season-level context
AVG
0.233
Batting average
OBP
0.299
On-base rate
SLG
0.407
Slugging
OPS
0.706
Overall production
TB/G
1.10
Last 10 games
R+RBI
0.40
Last 10 / game
Contact Quality
Batted Ball Profile
Above avg
Below avg
Lg avg
Hard Hit Rate
38.5%
+0.0%
Barrel Rate
8.2%
+0.0%
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
+0.0
Fly Ball Rate
34.0%
+0.0%
ISO
.174
++34pts
Bar range reflects realistic player spread · Marker = league average · Delta vs lg avg shown right
Prop history
Recent game-by-game shape
Rolling avg
5-game
Cleared lineMissed line5-game avgCurrent line
Recent Hitting Log
| Date | Opp | Slot | AB | H | HR | R | RBI | BB | K | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | ARI | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | ARI | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | SD | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026-04-28 | SD | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | SD | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | LAD | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | LAD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | LAD | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | PHI | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026-04-21 | PHI | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-20 | PHI | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-19 | NYM | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | NYM | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-04-15 | PHI | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026-04-14 | PHI | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |