Game Detail

HOU @ BOS

FinalSat, May 2, 12:10 PM EDT

Prediction

Away Starter

Spencer Arrighetti
Source
Official
Throws R
Prediction

Home Starter

Connelly Early
Source
Official
Throws L
Prediction

Moneyline

logistic_v2_sbr_opening
BOS
-102
50.6%
HOU
+102
49.4%
Prediction

NRFI / YRFI

nrfi_hgb_v2_stuff_plus
NRFI
-128
56.2%
YRFI
+128
43.8%
Prediction

Game Total

totals_linewise_v1
Projected Total
8.12
Market 9.0 • UNDER -0.88
HOU
4.38
Projected runs
BOS
3.74
Projected runs
Game Context

Weather

No major weather flags

Snapshot
Sat, May 2, 12:00 PM EDT
open roof
Temperature
54F
Feels like 49F
Wind
10 mph
Cross R→L 9 mph
Gusts 16 mph • Raw SSE (165°)
Precipitation
0.00"
Weather code 3
Prediction

HOU Starter

Spencer Arrighetti
Strikeouts
5.86
5.5 +112 · Novig
Outs Recorded
16.38
17.5 +121 · Novig
Prediction

BOS Starter

Connelly Early
Strikeouts
4.96
4.5 -104 · FanDuel
Outs Recorded
16.04
15.5 +117 · BetRivers
Matchup Lens

Team Comparison

MetricHOUBOS
Win %58.06%53.75%
Run Diff / G0.920.44
Last 10 Win %49.03%46.88%
Recent OPS0.780.71
Bullpen ERA3.654.01
Bullpen FIP Proxy0.500.68
Days Since Last Game11
Travel Distance00
Lineups

Official or Projected Orders

Official

HOU

Confidence 100% (official)

1
Carlos Correa
SS
Hit -181
64.4%
HR +641
13.5%
H+R+RBI
2.33
2
Yordan Alvarez
DH
Hit -164
62.1%
HR +482
17.2%
H+R+RBI
2.21
3
Isaac Paredes
1B
Hit -148
59.7%
HR +589
14.5%
H+R+RBI
2.23
4
Christian Walker
1B
Hit -136
57.6%
HR +542
15.6%
H+R+RBI
2.11
5
Jose Altuve
2B
Hit -187
65.2%
HR +861
10.4%
H+R+RBI
2.18
6
Yainer Diaz
C
Hit -161
61.7%
HR +930
9.7%
H+R+RBI
1.87
7
Brice Matthews
CF
Hit -104
50.9%
HR +897
10.0%
H+R+RBI
1.65
8
Cam Smith
RF
Hit -110
52.5%
HR +1218
7.6%
H+R+RBI
1.69
9
Dustin Harris
LF
Hit +106
48.4%
HR +1227
7.5%
H+R+RBI
1.68
Official

BOS

Confidence 100% (official)

1
Jarren Duran
DH
Hit -170
62.9%
HR +729
12.1%
H+R+RBI
2.24
2
Willson Contreras
1B
Hit -146
59.3%
HR +575
14.8%
H+R+RBI
2.23
3
Roman Anthony
LF
Hit -140
58.3%
HR +975
9.3%
H+R+RBI
2.10
4
Wilyer Abreu
RF
Hit -138
57.9%
HR +722
12.2%
H+R+RBI
2.09
5
Trevor Story
SS
Hit -134
57.2%
HR +722
12.2%
H+R+RBI
1.99
6
Marcelo Mayer
2B
Hit -126
55.8%
HR +1040
8.8%
H+R+RBI
1.82
7
Ceddanne Rafaela
CF
Hit -140
58.3%
HR +1237
7.5%
H+R+RBI
1.74
8
Connor Wong
C
Hit -115
53.6%
HR +1438
6.5%
H+R+RBI
1.74
9
Caleb Durbin
3B
Hit -136
57.6%
HR +1319
7.0%
H+R+RBI
1.74