Rage Against the Bookie

Game Detail

ARI @ CHC

Final • Sat, May 2, 10:20 AM EDT

Back to Slate Away Starter Home Starter

Prediction

Away Starter

Ryne Nelson

Source

Official

Throws R

Prediction

Home Starter

Shota Imanaga

Source

Official

Throws L

Prediction

Moneyline

logistic_v2_sbr_opening

CHC

-137

57.7%

ARI

+137

42.3%

Prediction

NRFI / YRFI

nrfi_hgb_v2_stuff_plus

NRFI

-133

57.0%

YRFI

+133

43.0%

Prediction

Game Total

totals_linewise_v1

Projected Total

8.14

Market 7.3 • UNDER 0.89

ARI

3.77

Projected runs

CHC

4.37

Projected runs

Game Context

Weather

No major weather flags

Snapshot

Sat, May 2, 10:00 AM EDT

open roof

Temperature

50F

Feels like 47F

Wind

8 mph

Cross R→L 7 mph

Gusts 11 mph • Raw E (82°)

Precipitation

0.00"

Weather code 1

Prediction

ARI Starter

Ryne Nelson

Strikeouts

3.47

4.5 +106 · DraftKings

Outs Recorded

14.55

16.5 -105 · DraftKings

Prediction

CHC Starter

Shota Imanaga

Strikeouts

4.58

4.5 -146 · FanDuel

Outs Recorded

17.80

18.5 +176 · Novig

Matchup Lens

Team Comparison

Metric	ARI	CHC
Win %	48.73%	53.66%
Run Diff / G	-0.01	0.47
Last 10 Win %	44.36%	61.83%
Recent OPS	0.75	0.78
Bullpen ERA	4.32	3.88
Bullpen FIP Proxy	0.99	0.77
Days Since Last Game	1	1
Travel Distance	0	0

Lineups

Official or Projected Orders

Official

ARI

Confidence 100% (official)

1

2B

Hit -193

65.9%

HR +716

12.3%

H+R+RBI

2.08

2

Geraldo Perdomo

SS

Hit -175

63.6%

HR +1043

8.8%

H+R+RBI

2.03

3

RF

Hit -149

59.9%

HR +613

14.0%

H+R+RBI

2.04

4

Ildemaro Vargas

1B

Hit -181

64.5%

HR +962

9.4%

H+R+RBI

1.88

5

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

LF

Hit -169

62.8%

HR +931

9.7%

H+R+RBI

1.73

6

DH

Hit -162

61.9%

HR +613

14.0%

H+R+RBI

1.68

7

3B

Hit -142

58.6%

HR +1263

7.3%

H+R+RBI

1.58

8

C

Hit -122

55.0%

HR +1348

6.9%

H+R+RBI

1.46

9

CF

Hit +104

49.1%

HR +1046

8.7%

H+R+RBI

1.35

Official

CHC

Confidence 100% (official)

1

1B

Hit -157

61.1%

HR +630

13.7%

H+R+RBI

2.16

2

Moisés Ballesteros

DH

Hit -173

63.4%

HR +746

11.8%

H+R+RBI

2.23

3

3B

Hit -174

63.5%

HR +713

12.3%

H+R+RBI

2.20

4

LF

Hit -136

57.7%

HR +669

13.0%

H+R+RBI

1.98

5

RF

Hit -151

60.2%

HR +606

14.2%

H+R+RBI

1.81

6

Pete Crow-Armstrong

CF

Hit -145

59.1%

HR +848

10.6%

H+R+RBI

1.74

7

SS

Hit -135

57.5%

HR +918

9.8%

H+R+RBI

1.69

8

2B

Hit -123

55.1%

HR +1075

8.5%

H+R+RBI

1.68

9

C

Hit -117

53.9%

HR +1209

7.6%

H+R+RBI

1.59